Avalanche Investment Calculator
What would buying AVAX have been worth? Pick a plan and a start date and this replays it against real daily Avalanche closes.
What AVAX actually did, in the data this page replays
Measured from the 2,183 daily closes this page replays — 22 September 2020 to 13 September 2026, from Binance. Figures are bounded by that window, not by the asset’s whole life.
| History available | 6 years (from Binance) |
|---|---|
| Bought on the first day, held to the last | 1.39× |
| Highest close in this window | $134.84 on 22 November 2021 |
| Where it sits against that high | 94.5% below |
| Deepest fall | −95.6%, 22 November 2021 → 19 June 2026 |
| Time to get back to that peak | still below it |
| Separate falls of 50% or more | 2 |
| Days spent more than 20% below a previous peak | 93.4% |
| Best calendar year | 2021: +2,898.3% |
| Worst calendar year | 2022: -90.4% |
| Annualised volatility | 114.9% |
AVAX year by year
First close to last close each year. 2020 and 2026 are partial — the data starts mid-2020 and 2026 is still running.
| Year | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | -40.1% | partial year |
| 2021 | +2,898.3% | best full year |
| 2022 | -90.4% | worst full year |
| 2023 | +254.6% | |
| 2024 | -14.9% | |
| 2025 | -67.4% | |
| 2026 | -45.5% | partial year |
The part the calculator does not show you
Held from the first day in this data to the last, AVAX returned 1.39×. That headline is the easy part. The number underneath it is that the position spent 93.4% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak — so for most of the time you owned it, you were looking at a figure lower than one you had already seen.
The deepest fall took AVAX down 95.6%, from $134.84 on 22 November 2021 to $5.9 on 19 June 2026 — 4 years and 7 months of falling. AVAX has not been back to that peak since. Anyone who bought on 22 November 2021 is still waiting, 17 months later — which is the scenario a backtest showing a positive average return quietly averages away.
114.9% annualised volatility is ordinary for a major crypto asset and still several times a stock index. All AVAX calculators →
Frequently asked questions
＋Would buying AVAX on the first day of this data and holding have made money?
Yes — 1.39× from 22 September 2020 to 13 September 2026. The figure is real but it is also the single luckiest entry available in this window, and it required holding through a fall of 95.6% on the way. Set the calculator to a date you might plausibly have chosen instead and the answer usually changes a great deal.
＋What is the worst AVAX has fallen?
95.6% in this data, from 22 November 2021 down to 19 June 2026 — 4 years and 7 months of falling. It has not returned to that peak since, so anyone who bought at the top is still waiting. Bear in mind our AVAX series starts in 2020; a deeper fall before that date would not appear here.
＋How often does AVAX lose half its value?
2 separate falls of 50% or more appear in this data, and the position spent 93.4% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak. A drop of that size is not an exceptional event for this asset — it is a recurring feature of the record, which is the thing to size a position around.
＋What were AVAX's best and worst years?
2021 was the best at +2,898.3%, and 2022 the worst at -90.4%. The gap between those two is the reason a single average annual return is a poor description of this asset: almost nobody experiences the average, they experience one of the two extremes depending on when they bought.
＋Is 6 years of data enough to trust this backtest?
Reasonably. 6 years spans roughly one full cycle for AVAX — enough for the drawdown figure to mean something, not enough to call it a pattern. The assets here with a decade or more behind them support firmer conclusions.
What to keep in mind for AVAX
AVAX is a high-beta layer-1 that historically moved with the broader altcoin risk cycle rather than on its own fundamentals.
Avalanche C-Chain fees are low and burned; moving between the C, P and X chains has its own small cost that catches new stakers out.
A backtest is one path that already happened. It shows what this plan produced through the exact sequence of prices AVAX went through — not what a similar plan will produce through a sequence nobody has seen yet.