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Decentraland · MANA

Decentraland Investment Calculator

What would buying MANA have been worth? Pick a plan and a start date and this replays it against real daily Decentraland closes.

The plan

Strategy
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What MANA actually did, in the data this page replays

Measured from the 2,230 daily closes this page replays — 6 August 2020 to 13 September 2026, from Binance. Figures are bounded by that window, not by the asset’s whole life.

History available6 years and 1 month (from Binance)
Bought on the first day, held to the last1.32×
Highest close in this window$5.19 on 25 November 2021
Where it sits against that high98.5% below
Deepest fall−98.8%, 25 November 2021 → 30 June 2026
Time to get back to that peakstill below it
Separate falls of 50% or more2
Days spent more than 20% below a previous peak91.7%
Best calendar year2021: +3,813.1%
Worst calendar year2022: -91.1%
Annualised volatility131.8%

MANA year by year

First close to last close each year. 2020 and 2026 are partial — the data starts mid-2020 and 2026 is still running.

YearChangeNote
2020+33.6%partial year
2021+3,813.1%best full year
2022-91.1%worst full year
2023+72.6%
2024-13.4%
2025-75.5%
2026-40.1%partial year

The part the calculator does not show you

Held from the first day in this data to the last, MANA returned 1.32×. That headline is the easy part. The number underneath it is that the position spent 91.7% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak — so for most of the time you owned it, you were looking at a figure lower than one you had already seen.

The deepest fall took MANA down 98.8%, from $5.19 on 25 November 2021 to $0.0622 on 30 June 20264 years and 7 months of falling. MANA has not been back to that peak since. Anyone who bought on 25 November 2021 is still waiting, 18 months later — which is the scenario a backtest showing a positive average return quietly averages away.

At 131.8% annualised volatility, MANA sits in the top band of anything on this site — the drawdown figures above, not the average, are the number to plan around. All MANA calculators →

Frequently asked questions

Would buying MANA on the first day of this data and holding have made money?

Yes — 1.32× from 6 August 2020 to 13 September 2026. The figure is real but it is also the single luckiest entry available in this window, and it required holding through a fall of 98.8% on the way. Set the calculator to a date you might plausibly have chosen instead and the answer usually changes a great deal.

What is the worst MANA has fallen?

98.8% in this data, from 25 November 2021 down to 30 June 2026 — 4 years and 7 months of falling. It has not returned to that peak since, so anyone who bought at the top is still waiting. Bear in mind our MANA series starts in 2020; a deeper fall before that date would not appear here.

How often does MANA lose half its value?

2 separate falls of 50% or more appear in this data, and the position spent 91.7% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak. A drop of that size is not an exceptional event for this asset — it is a recurring feature of the record, which is the thing to size a position around.

What were MANA's best and worst years?

2021 was the best at +3,813.1%, and 2022 the worst at -91.1%. The gap between those two is the reason a single average annual return is a poor description of this asset: almost nobody experiences the average, they experience one of the two extremes depending on when they bought.

Is 6 years and 1 month of data enough to trust this backtest?

Reasonably. 6 years and 1 month spans roughly one full cycle for MANA — enough for the drawdown figure to mean something, not enough to call it a pattern. The assets here with a decade or more behind them support firmer conclusions.

What to keep in mind for MANA

MANA reliably spikes on any large company announcing a metaverse plan, and gives it back when the announcement produces nothing.

In-world transactions run on Polygon and cost almost nothing; buying LAND on Ethereum costs full mainnet gas on top of the price.

A backtest is one path that already happened. It shows what this plan produced through the exact sequence of prices MANA went through — not what a similar plan will produce through a sequence nobody has seen yet.