Stacks Investment Calculator
What would buying STX have been worth? Pick a plan and a start date and this replays it against real daily Stacks closes.
What STX actually did, in the data this page replays
Measured from the 2,516 daily closes this page replays — 25 October 2019 to 13 September 2026, from Binance. Figures are bounded by that window, not by the asset’s whole life.
| History available | 6 years and 11 months (from Binance) |
|---|---|
| Bought on the first day, held to the last | 0.734× — a loss of 26.6% |
| Highest close in this window | $3.66 on 24 March 2024 |
| Where it sits against that high | 92.5% below |
| Deepest fall | −96.7%, 24 March 2024 → 18 August 2026 |
| Time to get back to that peak | still below it |
| Separate falls of 50% or more | 4 |
| Days spent more than 20% below a previous peak | 91.8% |
| Best calendar year | 2023: +603.1% |
| Worst calendar year | 2022: -90.9% |
| Annualised volatility | 130.3% |
STX year by year
First close to last close each year. 2019 and 2026 are partial — the data starts mid-2019 and 2026 is still running.
| Year | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | -74.6% | partial year |
| 2020 | +300.4% | |
| 2021 | +407% | |
| 2022 | -90.9% | worst full year |
| 2023 | +603.1% | best full year |
| 2024 | -3.4% | |
| 2025 | -84.8% | |
| 2026 | +4.7% | partial year |
The part the calculator does not show you
Held from the first day in this data to the last, STX returned 0.734× — a loss of 26.6%. Long holding periods are usually presented as the thing that rescues a volatile asset, and over this particular window for this particular coin, they did not. It is worth setting the calculator above to the full range and seeing that result written out before assuming time fixes an entry.
The deepest fall took STX down 96.7%, from $3.66 on 24 March 2024 to $0.12 on 18 August 2026 — 2 years and 5 months of falling. STX has not been back to that peak since. Anyone who bought on 24 March 2024 is still waiting, 4 years and 6 months later — which is the scenario a backtest showing a positive average return quietly averages away.
At 130.3% annualised volatility, STX sits in the top band of anything on this site — the drawdown figures above, not the average, are the number to plan around. All STX calculators →
Frequently asked questions
＋Would buying STX on the first day of this data and holding have made money?
No. Held across the whole window the position ended at 0.734× — a loss of 26.6%. That is worth stating plainly because "hold long enough and it recovers" is the usual advice, and over the 6 years and 11 months we hold for STX it did not happen.
＋What is the worst STX has fallen?
96.7% in this data, from 24 March 2024 down to 18 August 2026 — 2 years and 5 months of falling. It has not returned to that peak since, so anyone who bought at the top is still waiting. Bear in mind our STX series starts in 2019; a deeper fall before that date would not appear here.
＋How often does STX lose half its value?
4 separate falls of 50% or more appear in this data, and the position spent 91.8% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak. A drop of that size is not an exceptional event for this asset — it is a recurring feature of the record, which is the thing to size a position around.
＋What were STX's best and worst years?
2023 was the best at +603.1%, and 2022 the worst at -90.9%. The gap between those two is the reason a single average annual return is a poor description of this asset: almost nobody experiences the average, they experience one of the two extremes depending on when they bought.
＋Is 6 years and 11 months of data enough to trust this backtest?
Reasonably. 6 years and 11 months spans roughly one full cycle for STX — enough for the drawdown figure to mean something, not enough to call it a pattern. The assets here with a decade or more behind them support firmer conclusions.
What to keep in mind for STX
STX is one of the purest Bitcoin-ecosystem proxies and tends to outrun BTC on the way up and fall further on the way down.
Stacks fees are paid in STX and are low, but the chain settles against Bitcoin, so finality follows Bitcoin's pace rather than a fast layer 1's.
A backtest is one path that already happened. It shows what this plan produced through the exact sequence of prices STX went through — not what a similar plan will produce through a sequence nobody has seen yet.